Here is some fantasy football information that the fantasy football books and magazines will likely disagree with. If you’re a quality fantasy football competitor, though, you know you have to rely on many sources to get your fantasy football information. Bank on this: Randy Moss will not experience the wild success that Terrell Owens had, when the latter changed teams last season. In fact, look for a drop-off in Moss’ numbers this coming fantasy football season.

Now, don’t get me wrong. Moss has been truly marvelous in his career, and I believe he is one of the best wide outs in the National Football League, even if he often likes to run his mouth more than his pass routes. If healthy, he’s probably good for 85 catches and 10 touchdowns. These are good numbers; they are not typical Randy Moss numbers. Fantasy football owners have come to expect far more from Moss, and many will believe that the change of teams will not hurt his fantasy football production. Some will even believe his numbers will increase. Don’t get caught in this fantasy football information myth.

Here are a few reasons that Moss won’t enjoy the same success Owens had in either the National Football League or in your fantasy football league. First, and foremost, Moss is leaving a star quarterback and going to a team with an average quarterback. It’s hard to ignore the fact that Culpepper will no longer be the one tossing the football in Moss’ direction. Instead, he’ll likely have Kerry Collins, a journeyman with a sketchy football resume. Second, although Moss will move next to a more experienced receiver in Jerry Porter, he’s leaving better receivers in Nate Burleson and Marcus Robinson. Finally, The Vikings’ better offensive line provides more time for deep quarterback drops, which enabled Moss to run the deep routes he made a living on. He won’t have this luxury in Oakland, and it will show up in his fantasy football stats.

So, while all of the other fantasy football books and magazines and so-called experts are pushing Moss for a high first-round pick, bank on the safest fantasy football information available – the information that says Moss is a risky pick. There will be much better players at the 1 through 10 spots, where Moss will go in most leagues. Get one of them, and you’ll go far, while one of your opponents will whine all year, watching Moss talk more and score less.